Aterian Earnings Estimate

ATER Stock  USD 2.45  0.11  4.30%   
The next projected EPS of Aterian is estimated to be 0.0 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.0 to a high of 0.0. Aterian's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -2.61. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Aterian is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Aterian is projected to generate 0.0 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2024. Aterian earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Aterian EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Aterian's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Aterian, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Aterian Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing Aterian's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Aterian's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. As of 12/11/2024, Gross Profit is likely to grow to about 73.4 M, while Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop (0.56).
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aterian. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
To learn how to invest in Aterian Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aterian guide.

Aterian Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Aterian's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Aterian is estimated to be 0.0 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.0 to a high of 0.0. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Aterian is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
-0.25
0.00
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.0
0.00
Highest

Aterian Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Aterian's value are higher than the current market price of the Aterian stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Aterian is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Aterian's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2024Current EPS (TTM)
341.89%
-0.25
0.0
-2.61

Aterian Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Aterian analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Aterian's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Aterian's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Aterian Quarterly Gross Profit

15.83 Million

As of 12/11/2024, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 0.01, though Retained Earnings are likely to grow to (664.8 M). As of 12/11/2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 82.1 M, though Net Loss is likely to grow to (167.8 M).
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aterian's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.415.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.101.924.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.615.53
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.291.421.58
Details
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Aterian assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Aterian. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Aterian's stock price in the short term.

Aterian Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Aterian refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Aterian predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Aterian, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Aterian Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Aterian, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Aterian should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Aterian Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Aterian's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-11-11
2024-09-30-0.55-0.250.354 
2024-08-08
2024-06-30-0.64-0.520.1218 
2024-05-07
2024-03-31-1.12-0.760.3632 
2024-03-12
2023-12-31-0.13-0.10.0323 
2023-11-08
2023-09-30-0.13-0.080.0538 
2023-08-08
2023-06-30-0.13-0.45-0.32246 
2023-05-09
2023-03-31-0.16-0.120.0425 
2023-03-09
2022-12-31-0.25-0.27-0.02
2022-11-08
2022-09-30-0.22-1.81-1.59722 
2022-08-08
2022-06-30-0.12-0.26-0.14116 
2022-05-09
2022-03-31-0.25-0.250.0
2022-03-08
2021-12-31-0.26-0.110.1557 
2021-11-08
2021-09-30-0.29-3.13-2.84979 
2021-08-09
2021-06-30-0.190.010.2105 
2021-05-06
2021-03-31-0.26-0.52-0.26100 
2021-03-08
2020-12-31-0.31-0.33-0.02
2020-11-09
2020-09-30-0.28-0.050.2382 
2020-07-30
2020-06-30-0.020.140.16800 
2020-05-11
2020-03-31-0.58-0.50.0813 
2020-03-05
2019-12-31-0.73-1.06-0.3345 
2019-11-05
2019-09-30-0.43-0.240.1944 
2019-08-01
2019-06-30-0.54-0.450.0916 
2019-06-14
2019-03-310-0.52-0.52

About Aterian Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Aterian earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Aterian estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Aterian fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings-699.8 M-664.8 M
Retained Earnings Total Equity-562.7 M-590.9 M
Earnings Yield(2.74)(2.60)
Price Earnings Ratio(0.37)(0.38)
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio 0.01  0.01 

Pair Trading with Aterian

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Aterian position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Aterian will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Aterian Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Aterian could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Aterian when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Aterian - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Aterian to buy it.
The correlation of Aterian is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Aterian moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Aterian moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Aterian can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Aterian Stock Analysis

When running Aterian's price analysis, check to measure Aterian's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aterian is operating at the current time. Most of Aterian's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aterian's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aterian's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aterian to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.