Jiangxi Ganfeng Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

002460 Stock   42.05  1.06  2.59%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium on the next trading day is expected to be 42.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 110.40. Jiangxi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Jiangxi Ganfeng stock prices and determine the direction of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jiangxi Ganfeng's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Jiangxi Ganfeng's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 21.3 B, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 34.9 M.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Jiangxi Ganfeng price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Jiangxi Ganfeng Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium on the next trading day is expected to be 42.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.78, mean absolute percentage error of 4.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 110.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jiangxi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jiangxi Ganfeng's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jiangxi Ganfeng Stock Forecast Pattern

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Jiangxi Ganfeng Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jiangxi Ganfeng's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jiangxi Ganfeng's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.17 and 47.44, respectively. We have considered Jiangxi Ganfeng's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
42.05
42.80
Expected Value
47.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jiangxi Ganfeng stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jiangxi Ganfeng stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.5324
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.7807
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0546
SAESum of the absolute errors110.4016
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Jiangxi Ganfeng

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.4242.0546.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.6932.3246.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
38.3441.3644.37
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.120.090.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jiangxi Ganfeng. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jiangxi Ganfeng's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jiangxi Ganfeng's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium.

Other Forecasting Options for Jiangxi Ganfeng

For every potential investor in Jiangxi, whether a beginner or expert, Jiangxi Ganfeng's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jiangxi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jiangxi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jiangxi Ganfeng's price trends.

Jiangxi Ganfeng Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jiangxi Ganfeng stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jiangxi Ganfeng could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jiangxi Ganfeng by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jiangxi Ganfeng's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jiangxi Ganfeng's current price.

Jiangxi Ganfeng Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jiangxi Ganfeng stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jiangxi Ganfeng shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jiangxi Ganfeng stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jiangxi Ganfeng Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jiangxi Ganfeng's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jiangxi Ganfeng's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jiangxi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Jiangxi Stock

Jiangxi Ganfeng financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiangxi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiangxi with respect to the benefits of owning Jiangxi Ganfeng security.