Nice Information Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

036800 Stock  KRW 18,280  50.00  0.27%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nice Information Telecommunication on the next trading day is expected to be 18,315 with a mean absolute deviation of 105.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,571. Nice Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nice Information stock prices and determine the direction of Nice Information Telecommunication's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nice Information's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Nice Information is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Nice Information Telecommunication value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Nice Information Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nice Information Telecommunication on the next trading day is expected to be 18,315 with a mean absolute deviation of 105.99, mean absolute percentage error of 17,475, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,571.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nice Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nice Information's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nice Information Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nice Information Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nice Information's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nice Information's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18,315 and 18,316, respectively. We have considered Nice Information's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18,280
18,315
Downside
18,315
Expected Value
18,316
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nice Information stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nice Information stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria129.7169
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation105.9856
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0056
SAESum of the absolute errors6571.1078
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Nice Information Telecommunication. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Nice Information. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Nice Information

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nice Information Tel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18,27918,28018,281
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15,90315,90420,108
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nice Information

For every potential investor in Nice, whether a beginner or expert, Nice Information's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nice Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nice. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nice Information's price trends.

Nice Information Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nice Information stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nice Information could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nice Information by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nice Information Tel Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nice Information's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nice Information's current price.

Nice Information Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nice Information stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nice Information shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nice Information stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nice Information Telecommunication entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nice Information Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nice Information's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nice Information's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nice stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in Nice Stock

Nice Information financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nice Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nice with respect to the benefits of owning Nice Information security.