Daehan Steel Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

084010 Stock   15,800  280.00  1.80%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Daehan Steel on the next trading day is expected to be 16,142 with a mean absolute deviation of 263.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16,360. Daehan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Daehan Steel stock prices and determine the direction of Daehan Steel's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Daehan Steel's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Daehan Steel polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Daehan Steel as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Daehan Steel Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Daehan Steel on the next trading day is expected to be 16,142 with a mean absolute deviation of 263.87, mean absolute percentage error of 124,088, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16,360.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Daehan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Daehan Steel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Daehan Steel Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Daehan SteelDaehan Steel Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Daehan Steel Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Daehan Steel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Daehan Steel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16,140 and 16,143, respectively. We have considered Daehan Steel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15,800
16,140
Downside
16,142
Expected Value
16,143
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Daehan Steel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Daehan Steel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria131.6771
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation263.8656
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0188
SAESum of the absolute errors16359.6678
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Daehan Steel historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Daehan Steel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Daehan Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15,79815,80015,802
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14,22017,82117,823
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13,99215,09116,190
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Daehan Steel

For every potential investor in Daehan, whether a beginner or expert, Daehan Steel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Daehan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Daehan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Daehan Steel's price trends.

Daehan Steel Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Daehan Steel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Daehan Steel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Daehan Steel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Daehan Steel Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Daehan Steel's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Daehan Steel's current price.

Daehan Steel Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Daehan Steel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Daehan Steel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Daehan Steel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Daehan Steel entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Daehan Steel Risk Indicators

The analysis of Daehan Steel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Daehan Steel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting daehan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Daehan Steel

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Daehan Steel position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Daehan Steel will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Daehan Stock

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  0.75001230 Dongkuk Steel MillPairCorr
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  0.72051910 LG ChemicalsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Daehan Steel could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Daehan Steel when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Daehan Steel - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Daehan Steel to buy it.
The correlation of Daehan Steel is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Daehan Steel moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Daehan Steel moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Daehan Steel can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Daehan Stock

Daehan Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Daehan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Daehan with respect to the benefits of owning Daehan Steel security.