BH Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

090460 Stock  KRW 17,060  160.00  0.93%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BH Co on the next trading day is expected to be 17,060 with a mean absolute deviation of 557.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33,445. BH Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast BH stock prices and determine the direction of BH Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BH's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for BH is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

BH Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BH Co on the next trading day is expected to be 17,060 with a mean absolute deviation of 557.42, mean absolute percentage error of 717,413, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33,445.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BH Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BH's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BH Stock Forecast Pattern

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BH Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BH's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BH's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17,057 and 17,063, respectively. We have considered BH's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17,060
17,057
Downside
17,060
Expected Value
17,063
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BH stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BH stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria129.756
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 87.25
MADMean absolute deviation557.4167
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0303
SAESum of the absolute errors33445.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of BH Co price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of BH. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for BH

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BH Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17,05717,06017,063
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16,19716,20018,766
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14,59516,02617,458
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BH. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BH's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BH's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BH Co.

Other Forecasting Options for BH

For every potential investor in BH, whether a beginner or expert, BH's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BH Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BH's price trends.

BH Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BH stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BH could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BH by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BH Co Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BH's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BH's current price.

BH Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BH stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BH shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BH stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BH Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BH Risk Indicators

The analysis of BH's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BH's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in BH Stock

BH financial ratios help investors to determine whether BH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BH with respect to the benefits of owning BH security.