Weikeng Industrial Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

3033 Stock  TWD 34.15  0.30  0.87%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Weikeng Industrial Co on the next trading day is expected to be 34.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.07. Weikeng Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Weikeng Industrial Co is based on a synthetically constructed Weikeng Industrialdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Weikeng Industrial 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Weikeng Industrial Co on the next trading day is expected to be 34.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55, mean absolute percentage error of 0.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.07.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Weikeng Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Weikeng Industrial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Weikeng Industrial Stock Forecast Pattern

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Weikeng Industrial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Weikeng Industrial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Weikeng Industrial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.68 and 35.72, respectively. We have considered Weikeng Industrial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
34.15
34.70
Expected Value
35.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Weikeng Industrial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Weikeng Industrial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.2839
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0986
MADMean absolute deviation0.5492
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0158
SAESum of the absolute errors23.0675
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Weikeng Industrial 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Weikeng Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Weikeng Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.1434.1535.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.5934.6035.61
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Weikeng Industrial

For every potential investor in Weikeng, whether a beginner or expert, Weikeng Industrial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Weikeng Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Weikeng. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Weikeng Industrial's price trends.

Weikeng Industrial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Weikeng Industrial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Weikeng Industrial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Weikeng Industrial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Weikeng Industrial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Weikeng Industrial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Weikeng Industrial's current price.

Weikeng Industrial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Weikeng Industrial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Weikeng Industrial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Weikeng Industrial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Weikeng Industrial Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Weikeng Industrial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Weikeng Industrial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Weikeng Industrial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting weikeng stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Weikeng Stock Analysis

When running Weikeng Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Weikeng Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Weikeng Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Weikeng Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Weikeng Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Weikeng Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Weikeng Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.