Emerging Display Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

3038 Stock  TWD 26.90  0.25  0.94%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Emerging Display Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 27.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.94. Emerging Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Emerging Display is based on an artificially constructed time series of Emerging Display daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Emerging Display 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Emerging Display Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 27.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Emerging Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Emerging Display's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Emerging Display Stock Forecast Pattern

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Emerging Display Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Emerging Display's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Emerging Display's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.97 and 28.28, respectively. We have considered Emerging Display's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.90
27.12
Expected Value
28.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Emerging Display stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Emerging Display stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.7631
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0545
MADMean absolute deviation0.3693
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0141
SAESum of the absolute errors19.9437
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Emerging Display Technologies 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Emerging Display

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Emerging Display Tec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.7426.9028.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.4526.6127.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.6027.1627.73
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Emerging Display

For every potential investor in Emerging, whether a beginner or expert, Emerging Display's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Emerging Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Emerging. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Emerging Display's price trends.

Emerging Display Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Emerging Display stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Emerging Display could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Emerging Display by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Emerging Display Tec Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Emerging Display's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Emerging Display's current price.

Emerging Display Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Emerging Display stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Emerging Display shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Emerging Display stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Emerging Display Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Emerging Display Risk Indicators

The analysis of Emerging Display's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Emerging Display's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting emerging stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Emerging Stock Analysis

When running Emerging Display's price analysis, check to measure Emerging Display's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Emerging Display is operating at the current time. Most of Emerging Display's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Emerging Display's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Emerging Display's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Emerging Display to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.