Fuzhou Rockchip Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

603893 Stock   84.29  0.91  1.09%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Fuzhou Rockchip Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 86.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 467.87. Fuzhou Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fuzhou Rockchip stock prices and determine the direction of Fuzhou Rockchip Electronics's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fuzhou Rockchip's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Fuzhou Rockchip's Other Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Current Assets is expected to grow to about 55.4 M, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 27 K.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Fuzhou Rockchip Electronics is based on a synthetically constructed Fuzhou Rockchipdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Fuzhou Rockchip 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Fuzhou Rockchip Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 86.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.14, mean absolute percentage error of 190.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 467.87.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fuzhou Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fuzhou Rockchip's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fuzhou Rockchip Stock Forecast Pattern

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Fuzhou Rockchip Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fuzhou Rockchip's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fuzhou Rockchip's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 82.24 and 90.07, respectively. We have considered Fuzhou Rockchip's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
84.29
86.16
Expected Value
90.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fuzhou Rockchip stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fuzhou Rockchip stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria88.4392
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -8.3309
MADMean absolute deviation11.1397
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1353
SAESum of the absolute errors467.866
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Fuzhou Rockchip Elec 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Fuzhou Rockchip

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fuzhou Rockchip Elec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.3784.2988.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.8699.46103.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
79.7082.8085.90
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fuzhou Rockchip. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fuzhou Rockchip's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fuzhou Rockchip's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fuzhou Rockchip Elec.

Other Forecasting Options for Fuzhou Rockchip

For every potential investor in Fuzhou, whether a beginner or expert, Fuzhou Rockchip's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fuzhou Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fuzhou. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fuzhou Rockchip's price trends.

Fuzhou Rockchip Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fuzhou Rockchip stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fuzhou Rockchip could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fuzhou Rockchip by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fuzhou Rockchip Elec Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fuzhou Rockchip's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fuzhou Rockchip's current price.

Fuzhou Rockchip Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fuzhou Rockchip stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fuzhou Rockchip shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fuzhou Rockchip stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fuzhou Rockchip Electronics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fuzhou Rockchip Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fuzhou Rockchip's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fuzhou Rockchip's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fuzhou stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Fuzhou Stock

Fuzhou Rockchip financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fuzhou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fuzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Fuzhou Rockchip security.