Tong Hsing Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

6271 Stock  TWD 132.00  1.00  0.76%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Tong Hsing Electronic on the next trading day is expected to be 128.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 188.68. Tong Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Tong Hsing Electronic is based on a synthetically constructed Tong Hsingdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Tong Hsing 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Tong Hsing Electronic on the next trading day is expected to be 128.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.49, mean absolute percentage error of 32.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 188.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tong Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tong Hsing's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tong Hsing Stock Forecast Pattern

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Tong Hsing Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tong Hsing's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tong Hsing's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 126.43 and 129.87, respectively. We have considered Tong Hsing's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
132.00
126.43
Downside
128.15
Expected Value
129.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tong Hsing stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tong Hsing stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria86.6744
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.6101
MADMean absolute deviation4.4923
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0351
SAESum of the absolute errors188.675
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Tong Hsing Electronic 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Tong Hsing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tong Hsing Electronic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
130.27132.00133.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
130.40132.12133.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
121.81127.96134.11
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Tong Hsing

For every potential investor in Tong, whether a beginner or expert, Tong Hsing's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tong Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tong. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tong Hsing's price trends.

Tong Hsing Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tong Hsing stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tong Hsing could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tong Hsing by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tong Hsing Electronic Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tong Hsing's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tong Hsing's current price.

Tong Hsing Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tong Hsing stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tong Hsing shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tong Hsing stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tong Hsing Electronic entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tong Hsing Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tong Hsing's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tong Hsing's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tong stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Tong Stock Analysis

When running Tong Hsing's price analysis, check to measure Tong Hsing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tong Hsing is operating at the current time. Most of Tong Hsing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tong Hsing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tong Hsing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tong Hsing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.