Hi Trend Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

688391 Stock   33.24  0.14  0.42%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hi Trend TechCo on the next trading day is expected to be 32.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 92.67. 688391 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hi Trend stock prices and determine the direction of Hi Trend TechCo's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hi Trend's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Hi Trend's Total Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Accounts Payable is expected to grow to about 73.8 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.4 B.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Hi Trend is based on an artificially constructed time series of Hi Trend daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Hi Trend 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hi Trend TechCo on the next trading day is expected to be 32.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.72, mean absolute percentage error of 9.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 92.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 688391 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hi Trend's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hi Trend Stock Forecast Pattern

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Hi Trend Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hi Trend's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hi Trend's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.91 and 38.04, respectively. We have considered Hi Trend's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
33.24
32.98
Expected Value
38.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hi Trend stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hi Trend stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.476
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.6492
MADMean absolute deviation1.7161
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0496
SAESum of the absolute errors92.67
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Hi Trend TechCo 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Hi Trend

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hi Trend TechCo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.4833.5438.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.2428.3033.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
30.6833.1635.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hi Trend. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hi Trend's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hi Trend's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hi Trend TechCo.

Other Forecasting Options for Hi Trend

For every potential investor in 688391, whether a beginner or expert, Hi Trend's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 688391 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 688391. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hi Trend's price trends.

Hi Trend Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hi Trend stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hi Trend could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hi Trend by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hi Trend TechCo Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hi Trend's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hi Trend's current price.

Hi Trend Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hi Trend stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hi Trend shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hi Trend stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hi Trend TechCo entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hi Trend Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hi Trend's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hi Trend's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 688391 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in 688391 Stock

Hi Trend financial ratios help investors to determine whether 688391 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 688391 with respect to the benefits of owning Hi Trend security.