Apartment Investment Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

A1IV34 Stock  BRL 52.95  0.70  1.34%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Apartment Investment and on the next trading day is expected to be 52.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.15. Apartment Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Apartment Investment stock prices and determine the direction of Apartment Investment and's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Apartment Investment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Apartment Investment and is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Apartment Investment 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Apartment Investment and on the next trading day is expected to be 52.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.80, mean absolute percentage error of 1.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Apartment Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Apartment Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Apartment Investment Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Apartment InvestmentApartment Investment Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Apartment Investment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Apartment Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Apartment Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.83 and 54.37, respectively. We have considered Apartment Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
52.95
52.60
Expected Value
54.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Apartment Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Apartment Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.7249
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1047
MADMean absolute deviation0.7956
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0158
SAESum of the absolute errors46.145
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Apartment Investment. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Apartment Investment and and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Apartment Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apartment Investment and. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.1952.9554.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.7643.5258.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
47.9251.2354.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Apartment Investment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Apartment Investment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Apartment Investment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Apartment Investment and.

Other Forecasting Options for Apartment Investment

For every potential investor in Apartment, whether a beginner or expert, Apartment Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Apartment Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Apartment. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Apartment Investment's price trends.

Apartment Investment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Apartment Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Apartment Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Apartment Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Apartment Investment and Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Apartment Investment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Apartment Investment's current price.

Apartment Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Apartment Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Apartment Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Apartment Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Apartment Investment and entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Apartment Investment Risk Indicators

The analysis of Apartment Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Apartment Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting apartment stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Apartment Stock

When determining whether Apartment Investment and is a strong investment it is important to analyze Apartment Investment's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Apartment Investment's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Apartment Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Apartment Investment to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Apartment Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Apartment Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apartment Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.