ASIA Capital Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ASIA Capital Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.66. ASIA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
ASIA Capital simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for ASIA Capital Group are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as ASIA Capital Group prices get older.

ASIA Capital Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ASIA Capital Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ASIA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ASIA Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ASIA Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

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ASIA Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ASIA Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ASIA Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 130.04, respectively. We have considered ASIA Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
0.33
Expected Value
130.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ASIA Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ASIA Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.6541
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.011
MADMean absolute deviation0.011
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors0.66
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting ASIA Capital Group forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent ASIA Capital observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for ASIA Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASIA Capital Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0050.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0050.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ASIA Capital

For every potential investor in ASIA, whether a beginner or expert, ASIA Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ASIA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ASIA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ASIA Capital's price trends.

ASIA Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ASIA Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ASIA Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ASIA Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ASIA Capital Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ASIA Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ASIA Capital's current price.

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Other Information on Investing in ASIA Stock

ASIA Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether ASIA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ASIA with respect to the benefits of owning ASIA Capital security.