26 Capital Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ADERDelisted Stock  USD 11.38  0.43  3.93%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of 26 Capital Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 11.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.70. ADER Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for 26 Capital is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of 26 Capital Acquisition value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

26 Capital Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of 26 Capital Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 11.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ADER Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 26 Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

26 Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest 26 Capital26 Capital Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 26 Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 26 Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.4483
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0443
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0041
SAESum of the absolute errors2.7036
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of 26 Capital Acquisition. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict 26 Capital. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for 26 Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 26 Capital Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 26 Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3811.3811.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.489.4812.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.6110.9611.31
Details

26 Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 26 Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 26 Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 26 Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

26 Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 26 Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 26 Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 26 Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 26 Capital Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

26 Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of 26 Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 26 Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ader stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with 26 Capital

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if 26 Capital position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in 26 Capital will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against ADER Stock

  0.7BKRKY Bank RakyatPairCorr
  0.7PPERY Bank Mandiri PerseroPairCorr
  0.68PPERF Bank Mandiri PerseroPairCorr
  0.68PFE Pfizer Inc Fiscal Year End 4th of February 2025 PairCorr
  0.61MRK Merck Company Fiscal Year End 6th of February 2025 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to 26 Capital could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace 26 Capital when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back 26 Capital - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling 26 Capital Acquisition to buy it.
The correlation of 26 Capital is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as 26 Capital moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if 26 Capital Acquisition moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for 26 Capital can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Other Consideration for investing in ADER Stock

If you are still planning to invest in 26 Capital Acquisition check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the 26 Capital's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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