Advanced Info Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

ADVANC-R  THB 289.00  3.00  1.05%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Advanced Info Service on the next trading day is expected to be 222.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 578.00. Advanced Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Advanced Info stock prices and determine the direction of Advanced Info Service's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Advanced Info's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Advanced Info - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Advanced Info prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Advanced Info price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Advanced Info Service.

Advanced Info Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Advanced Info Service on the next trading day is expected to be 222.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.80, mean absolute percentage error of 1,824, and the sum of the absolute errors of 578.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Advanced Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Advanced Info's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Advanced Info Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Advanced Info stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Advanced Info stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 5.2651
MADMean absolute deviation9.7966
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors578.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Advanced Info observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Advanced Info Service observations.

Predictive Modules for Advanced Info

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advanced Info Service. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.45289.0029,189
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.43248.5429,149
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
171.51217.03262.55
Details

Advanced Info Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Advanced Info stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Advanced Info could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Advanced Info by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Advanced Info Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Advanced Info stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Advanced Info shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Advanced Info stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Advanced Info Service entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in Advanced Stock

Advanced Info financial ratios help investors to determine whether Advanced Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Advanced with respect to the benefits of owning Advanced Info security.