Air France-KLM Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

AFRAF Stock  USD 8.00  0.24  2.91%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Air France KLM SA on the next trading day is expected to be 8.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.65. Air Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Air France-KLM's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Air France-KLM is based on an artificially constructed time series of Air France-KLM daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Air France-KLM 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Air France KLM SA on the next trading day is expected to be 8.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Air Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Air France-KLM's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Air France-KLM Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Air France-KLM Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Air France-KLM's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Air France-KLM's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.37 and 10.67, respectively. We have considered Air France-KLM's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.00
8.02
Expected Value
10.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Air France-KLM pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Air France-KLM pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria101.9118
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0449
MADMean absolute deviation0.2386
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.028
SAESum of the absolute errors12.645
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Air France KLM SA 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Air France-KLM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Air France KLM. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.358.0010.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.758.4011.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Air France-KLM. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Air France-KLM's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Air France-KLM's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Air France KLM.

Other Forecasting Options for Air France-KLM

For every potential investor in Air, whether a beginner or expert, Air France-KLM's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Air Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Air. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Air France-KLM's price trends.

Air France-KLM Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Air France-KLM pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Air France-KLM could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air France-KLM by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Air France KLM Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Air France-KLM's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Air France-KLM's current price.

Air France-KLM Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Air France-KLM pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Air France-KLM shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Air France-KLM pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Air France KLM SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Air France-KLM Risk Indicators

The analysis of Air France-KLM's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Air France-KLM's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting air pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Air Pink Sheet

Air France-KLM financial ratios help investors to determine whether Air Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Air with respect to the benefits of owning Air France-KLM security.