Flow Capital Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

AHFCF Stock  USD 0.61  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Flow Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.1. Flow Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Flow Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Flow Capital - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Flow Capital prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Flow Capital price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Flow Capital Corp.

Flow Capital Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Flow Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.1.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Flow Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Flow Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Flow Capital Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Flow Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Flow Capital's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Flow Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.06, respectively. We have considered Flow Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.61
0.61
Expected Value
3.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Flow Capital pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Flow Capital pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0017
MADMean absolute deviation0.0017
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0028
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Flow Capital observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Flow Capital Corp observations.

Predictive Modules for Flow Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flow Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flow Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.613.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.492.94
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Flow Capital

For every potential investor in Flow, whether a beginner or expert, Flow Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Flow Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Flow. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Flow Capital's price trends.

Flow Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Flow Capital pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Flow Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Flow Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Flow Capital Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Flow Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Flow Capital's current price.

Flow Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Flow Capital pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Flow Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Flow Capital pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Flow Capital Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Flow Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Flow Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Flow Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting flow pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Flow Pink Sheet

Flow Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Flow Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Flow with respect to the benefits of owning Flow Capital security.