Alternet Systems Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ALYI Stock | USD 0.0007 0.0001 12.50% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Alternet Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0007 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000085 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. Alternet Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Alternet Systems' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Alternet |
Alternet Systems Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Alternet Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0007 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000085, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alternet Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alternet Systems' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Alternet Systems Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Alternet Systems Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Alternet Systems' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alternet Systems' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000007 and 34.75, respectively. We have considered Alternet Systems' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alternet Systems pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alternet Systems pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 100.9434 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0978 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0052 |
Predictive Modules for Alternet Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alternet Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alternet Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Alternet Systems
For every potential investor in Alternet, whether a beginner or expert, Alternet Systems' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alternet Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alternet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alternet Systems' price trends.View Alternet Systems Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alternet Systems Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alternet Systems' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alternet Systems' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Alternet Systems Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alternet Systems pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alternet Systems shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alternet Systems pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Alternet Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 53750.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.88 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 7.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.0001) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.0001) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 40.19 |
Alternet Systems Risk Indicators
The analysis of Alternet Systems' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alternet Systems' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alternet pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 13.75 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 34.27 | |||
| Variance | 1174.65 | |||
| Downside Variance | 247.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 82.43 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (38.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Alternet Pink Sheet
Alternet Systems financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alternet Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alternet with respect to the benefits of owning Alternet Systems security.