Ameritrans Capital Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| AMTPQ Preferred Stock | USD 0.15 0.00 0.00% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ameritrans Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Ameritrans Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Ameritrans |
Ameritrans Capital Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ameritrans Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ameritrans Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ameritrans Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ameritrans Capital Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Ameritrans Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ameritrans Capital's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ameritrans Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.15 and 0.15, respectively. We have considered Ameritrans Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ameritrans Capital pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ameritrans Capital pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Ameritrans Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ameritrans Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Ameritrans Capital
For every potential investor in Ameritrans, whether a beginner or expert, Ameritrans Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ameritrans Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ameritrans. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ameritrans Capital's price trends.Ameritrans Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ameritrans Capital pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ameritrans Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ameritrans Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ameritrans Capital Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ameritrans Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ameritrans Capital's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Ameritrans Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ameritrans Capital pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ameritrans Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ameritrans Capital pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Ameritrans Capital Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Pair Trading with Ameritrans Capital
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ameritrans Capital position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ameritrans Capital will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ameritrans Capital could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ameritrans Capital when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ameritrans Capital - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ameritrans Capital Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Ameritrans Capital is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ameritrans Capital moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ameritrans Capital Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ameritrans Capital can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Ameritrans Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Ameritrans Capital's price analysis, check to measure Ameritrans Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ameritrans Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Ameritrans Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ameritrans Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ameritrans Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ameritrans Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.