Eastinco Mining Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ATN Stock   51.00  1.00  2.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eastinco Mining Exploration on the next trading day is expected to be 51.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.50. Eastinco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Eastinco Mining stock prices and determine the direction of Eastinco Mining Exploration's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Eastinco Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Eastinco Mining's Other Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 832.6 K, whereas Accounts Payable is forecasted to decline to about 162.9 K.
Eastinco Mining simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Eastinco Mining Exploration are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Eastinco Mining Expl prices get older.

Eastinco Mining Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eastinco Mining Exploration on the next trading day is expected to be 51.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eastinco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eastinco Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eastinco Mining Stock Forecast Pattern

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Eastinco Mining Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eastinco Mining's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eastinco Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.29 and 52.71, respectively. We have considered Eastinco Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
51.00
51.00
Expected Value
52.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eastinco Mining stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eastinco Mining stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.1052
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.125
MADMean absolute deviation0.2583
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.005
SAESum of the absolute errors15.5
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Eastinco Mining Exploration forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Eastinco Mining observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Eastinco Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eastinco Mining Expl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.9949.7051.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.5745.2856.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
49.0050.4551.90
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Eastinco Mining

For every potential investor in Eastinco, whether a beginner or expert, Eastinco Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eastinco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eastinco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eastinco Mining's price trends.

Eastinco Mining Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eastinco Mining stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eastinco Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eastinco Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eastinco Mining Expl Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Eastinco Mining's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Eastinco Mining's current price.

Eastinco Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eastinco Mining stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eastinco Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eastinco Mining stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eastinco Mining Exploration entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eastinco Mining Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eastinco Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eastinco Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eastinco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Eastinco Stock

Eastinco Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eastinco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eastinco with respect to the benefits of owning Eastinco Mining security.