Asset World Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

AWC Stock  THB 3.66  0.06  1.61%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Asset World Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.48. Asset Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Asset World is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Asset World Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Asset World Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Asset World Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Asset Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Asset World's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Asset World Stock Forecast Pattern

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Asset World Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Asset World's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Asset World's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.32 and 5.22, respectively. We have considered Asset World's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.66
3.77
Expected Value
5.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Asset World stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Asset World stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.6718
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0562
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0154
SAESum of the absolute errors3.4825
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Asset World Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Asset World. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Asset World

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asset World Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.213.665.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.203.655.10
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Asset World

For every potential investor in Asset, whether a beginner or expert, Asset World's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Asset Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Asset. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Asset World's price trends.

Asset World Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Asset World stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Asset World could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Asset World by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Asset World Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Asset World's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Asset World's current price.

Asset World Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Asset World stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Asset World shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Asset World stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Asset World Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Asset World Risk Indicators

The analysis of Asset World's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Asset World's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting asset stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Asset Stock

Asset World financial ratios help investors to determine whether Asset Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Asset with respect to the benefits of owning Asset World security.