Basic Attention Crypto Coin Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| BAT Crypto | USD 0.32 0.01 3.03% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Basic Attention Token on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.68. Basic Crypto Coin Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Basic Attention crypto prices and determine the direction of Basic Attention Token's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Basic Attention's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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Basic Attention 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Basic Attention Token on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.68.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Basic Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Basic Attention's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Basic Attention Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern
Basic Attention Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Basic Attention's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Basic Attention's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.56, respectively. We have considered Basic Attention's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Basic Attention crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Basic Attention crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 102.6495 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0064 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0118 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0557 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.675 |
Predictive Modules for Basic Attention
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Basic Attention Token. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Basic Attention
For every potential investor in Basic, whether a beginner or expert, Basic Attention's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Basic Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Basic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Basic Attention's price trends.Basic Attention Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Basic Attention crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Basic Attention could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Basic Attention by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Basic Attention Token Technical and Predictive Analytics
The crypto coin market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Basic Attention's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Basic Attention's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Basic Attention Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Basic Attention crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Basic Attention shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Basic Attention crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify Basic Attention Token entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Basic Attention Risk Indicators
The analysis of Basic Attention's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Basic Attention's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting basic crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.24 | |||
| Variance | 27.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 43.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.3 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (7.07) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Basic Attention Token offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Basic Attention's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Basic Attention Token Crypto.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Basic Attention to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.