Bisichi Mining Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BISI Stock   110.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bisichi Mining PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 114.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 144.17. Bisichi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Bisichi Mining's Non Current Liabilities Total is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Total Liabilities is likely to gain to about 27.5 M in 2024, whereas Property Plant And Equipment Net is likely to drop slightly above 10.3 M in 2024.
A naive forecasting model for Bisichi Mining is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Bisichi Mining PLC value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Bisichi Mining Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bisichi Mining PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 114.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.36, mean absolute percentage error of 10.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 144.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bisichi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bisichi Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bisichi Mining Stock Forecast Pattern

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Bisichi Mining Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bisichi Mining's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bisichi Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 111.49 and 116.86, respectively. We have considered Bisichi Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
110.00
111.49
Downside
114.17
Expected Value
116.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bisichi Mining stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bisichi Mining stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.4491
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.3634
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0208
SAESum of the absolute errors144.1681
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Bisichi Mining PLC. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Bisichi Mining. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Bisichi Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bisichi Mining PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
107.34110.00112.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
87.5490.20121.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
104.43110.83117.23
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bisichi Mining

For every potential investor in Bisichi, whether a beginner or expert, Bisichi Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bisichi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bisichi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bisichi Mining's price trends.

Bisichi Mining Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bisichi Mining stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bisichi Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bisichi Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bisichi Mining PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bisichi Mining's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bisichi Mining's current price.

Bisichi Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bisichi Mining stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bisichi Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bisichi Mining stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bisichi Mining PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bisichi Mining Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bisichi Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bisichi Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bisichi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Bisichi Stock Analysis

When running Bisichi Mining's price analysis, check to measure Bisichi Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bisichi Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Bisichi Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bisichi Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bisichi Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bisichi Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.