Ninepoint Bitcoin Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

BITC Etf  CAD 24.93  0.43  1.76%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ninepoint Bitcoin ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 23.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.47. Ninepoint Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Ninepoint Bitcoin is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Ninepoint Bitcoin ETF value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Ninepoint Bitcoin Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ninepoint Bitcoin ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 23.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ninepoint Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ninepoint Bitcoin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ninepoint Bitcoin Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ninepoint BitcoinNinepoint Bitcoin Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Ninepoint Bitcoin Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ninepoint Bitcoin's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ninepoint Bitcoin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.94 and 26.62, respectively. We have considered Ninepoint Bitcoin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.93
23.78
Expected Value
26.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ninepoint Bitcoin etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ninepoint Bitcoin etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.4957
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5159
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0257
SAESum of the absolute errors31.4689
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Ninepoint Bitcoin ETF. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Ninepoint Bitcoin. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Ninepoint Bitcoin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ninepoint Bitcoin ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.6624.5027.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.2222.0627.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.0824.6025.11
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ninepoint Bitcoin

For every potential investor in Ninepoint, whether a beginner or expert, Ninepoint Bitcoin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ninepoint Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ninepoint. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ninepoint Bitcoin's price trends.

Ninepoint Bitcoin Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ninepoint Bitcoin etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ninepoint Bitcoin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ninepoint Bitcoin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ninepoint Bitcoin ETF Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ninepoint Bitcoin's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ninepoint Bitcoin's current price.

Ninepoint Bitcoin Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ninepoint Bitcoin etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ninepoint Bitcoin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ninepoint Bitcoin etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Ninepoint Bitcoin ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ninepoint Bitcoin Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ninepoint Bitcoin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ninepoint Bitcoin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ninepoint etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Ninepoint Bitcoin

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ninepoint Bitcoin position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ninepoint Bitcoin will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Ninepoint Etf

  0.97BTCQ 3iQ Bitcoin ETFPairCorr
  0.97BTCC Purpose Bitcoin CADPairCorr
  0.95ETHQ 3iQ CoinShares EtherPairCorr

Moving against Ninepoint Etf

  0.62HUV BetaPro SP 500PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ninepoint Bitcoin could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ninepoint Bitcoin when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ninepoint Bitcoin - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ninepoint Bitcoin ETF to buy it.
The correlation of Ninepoint Bitcoin is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ninepoint Bitcoin moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ninepoint Bitcoin ETF moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ninepoint Bitcoin can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Ninepoint Etf

Ninepoint Bitcoin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ninepoint Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ninepoint with respect to the benefits of owning Ninepoint Bitcoin security.