Bakkt Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

BKKT Stock  USD 28.87  1.66  6.10%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bakkt Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 28.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.25. Bakkt Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Inventory Turnover is likely to gain to 3.97 in 2024. Payables Turnover is likely to gain to 50.55 in 2024. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 3.4 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to gain to about (494.3 M) in 2024.
A two period moving average forecast for Bakkt Holdings is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Bakkt Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Bakkt Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 28.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.24, mean absolute percentage error of 8.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bakkt Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bakkt Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bakkt Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Bakkt Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bakkt Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bakkt Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.68 and 49.40, respectively. We have considered Bakkt Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28.87
28.04
Expected Value
49.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bakkt Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bakkt Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.5222
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.4513
MADMean absolute deviation1.2416
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0661
SAESum of the absolute errors73.255
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Bakkt Holdings price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Bakkt Holdings. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Bakkt Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bakkt Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.3824.7446.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.6112.2533.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.4116.2732.13
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.251.371.52
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bakkt Holdings

For every potential investor in Bakkt, whether a beginner or expert, Bakkt Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bakkt Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bakkt. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bakkt Holdings' price trends.

Bakkt Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bakkt Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bakkt Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bakkt Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bakkt Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bakkt Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bakkt Holdings' current price.

Bakkt Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bakkt Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bakkt Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bakkt Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bakkt Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bakkt Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bakkt Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bakkt Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bakkt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Bakkt Stock Analysis

When running Bakkt Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Bakkt Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bakkt Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Bakkt Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bakkt Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bakkt Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bakkt Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.