Beachbody Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

BODI Stock   6.42  0.05  0.78%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Beachbody on the next trading day is expected to be 6.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.46. Beachbody Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Beachbody's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Beachbody's Receivables Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The Beachbody's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 2.39, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 4.33. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 5.9 M. The Beachbody's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (166 M).
Beachbody polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Beachbody as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Beachbody Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Beachbody on the next trading day is expected to be 6.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beachbody Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beachbody's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Beachbody Stock Forecast Pattern

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Beachbody Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Beachbody's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beachbody's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.70 and 10.81, respectively. We have considered Beachbody's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.42
6.26
Expected Value
10.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beachbody stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beachbody stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.9006
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2534
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0403
SAESum of the absolute errors15.4585
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Beachbody historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Beachbody

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beachbody. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Beachbody's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.836.4211.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.187.77
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
0.941.031.14
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Beachbody

For every potential investor in Beachbody, whether a beginner or expert, Beachbody's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beachbody Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beachbody. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beachbody's price trends.

Beachbody Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beachbody stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beachbody could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beachbody by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Beachbody Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Beachbody's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Beachbody's current price.

Beachbody Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beachbody stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beachbody shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beachbody stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Beachbody entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Beachbody Risk Indicators

The analysis of Beachbody's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beachbody's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beachbody stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Beachbody offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Beachbody's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Beachbody Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Beachbody Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Beachbody to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Beachbody Stock please use our How to Invest in Beachbody guide.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Beachbody. If investors know Beachbody will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Beachbody listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(15.83)
Revenue Per Share
73.293
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.18)
Return On Assets
(0.12)
Return On Equity
(1.05)
The market value of Beachbody is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Beachbody that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Beachbody's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Beachbody's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Beachbody's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Beachbody's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Beachbody's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Beachbody is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Beachbody's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.