Bet Shemesh Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

BSEN Stock  ILS 28,790  220.00  0.77%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Bet Shemesh Engines on the next trading day is expected to be 28,915 with a mean absolute deviation of 988.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 56,348. Bet Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Bet Shemesh stock prices and determine the direction of Bet Shemesh Engines's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bet Shemesh's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Bet Shemesh Engines is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Bet Shemesh 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Bet Shemesh Engines on the next trading day is expected to be 28,915 with a mean absolute deviation of 988.55, mean absolute percentage error of 2,335,292, and the sum of the absolute errors of 56,348.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bet Shemesh's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bet Shemesh Stock Forecast Pattern

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Bet Shemesh Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bet Shemesh's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bet Shemesh's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28,912 and 28,918, respectively. We have considered Bet Shemesh's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28,790
28,912
Downside
28,915
Expected Value
28,918
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bet Shemesh stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bet Shemesh stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria125.4226
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -263.114
MADMean absolute deviation988.5526
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.034
SAESum of the absolute errors56347.5
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Bet Shemesh. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Bet Shemesh Engines and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Bet Shemesh

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bet Shemesh Engines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28,78728,79028,793
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25,91132,28432,287
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bet Shemesh

For every potential investor in Bet, whether a beginner or expert, Bet Shemesh's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bet Shemesh's price trends.

Bet Shemesh Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bet Shemesh stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bet Shemesh could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bet Shemesh by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bet Shemesh Engines Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bet Shemesh's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bet Shemesh's current price.

Bet Shemesh Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bet Shemesh stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bet Shemesh shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bet Shemesh stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bet Shemesh Engines entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bet Shemesh Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bet Shemesh's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bet Shemesh's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Bet Stock

Bet Shemesh financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bet Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bet with respect to the benefits of owning Bet Shemesh security.