But Son Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

BTS Stock   5,000  0.00  0.00%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of But Son Cement on the next trading day is expected to be 4,985 with a mean absolute deviation of 59.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,440. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast But Son's stock prices and determine the direction of But Son Cement's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of But Son's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for But Son Cement is based on a synthetically constructed But Sondaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

But Son 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of But Son Cement on the next trading day is expected to be 4,985 with a mean absolute deviation of 59.51, mean absolute percentage error of 6,439, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,440.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict But Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that But Son's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

But Son Stock Forecast Pattern

But Son Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting But Son's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. But Son's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4,984 and 4,986, respectively. We have considered But Son's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5,000
4,985
Expected Value
4,986
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of But Son stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent But Son stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria90.1231
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 58.7805
MADMean absolute deviation59.5122
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0119
SAESum of the absolute errors2440.0
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. But Son Cement 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for But Son

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as But Son Cement. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for But Son

For every potential investor in But, whether a beginner or expert, But Son's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. But Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in But. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying But Son's price trends.

But Son Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with But Son stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of But Son could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing But Son by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

But Son Cement Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of But Son's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of But Son's current price.

But Son Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how But Son stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading But Son shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying But Son stock market strength indicators, traders can identify But Son Cement entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

But Son Risk Indicators

The analysis of But Son's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in But Son's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting but stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with But Son

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if But Son position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in But Son will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against But Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to But Son could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace But Son when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back But Son - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling But Son Cement to buy it.
The correlation of But Son is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as But Son moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if But Son Cement moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for But Son can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching