Auckland International Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

BZTA Stock  EUR 3.86  0.00  0.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Auckland International Airport on the next trading day is expected to be 3.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.38. Auckland Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Auckland International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Auckland International Airport is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Auckland International 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Auckland International Airport on the next trading day is expected to be 3.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Auckland Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Auckland International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Auckland International Stock Forecast Pattern

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Auckland International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Auckland International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Auckland International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.11 and 4.61, respectively. We have considered Auckland International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.86
3.86
Expected Value
4.61
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Auckland International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Auckland International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.93
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0039
MADMean absolute deviation0.0066
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0017
SAESum of the absolute errors0.375
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Auckland International. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Auckland International Airport and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Auckland International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Auckland International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.113.864.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.943.694.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Auckland International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Auckland International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Auckland International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Auckland International.

Other Forecasting Options for Auckland International

For every potential investor in Auckland, whether a beginner or expert, Auckland International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Auckland Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Auckland. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Auckland International's price trends.

Auckland International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Auckland International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Auckland International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Auckland International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Auckland International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Auckland International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Auckland International's current price.

Auckland International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Auckland International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Auckland International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Auckland International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Auckland International Airport entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Auckland International Risk Indicators

The analysis of Auckland International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Auckland International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting auckland stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Auckland Stock

Auckland International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Auckland Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Auckland with respect to the benefits of owning Auckland International security.