Congress Large Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average

CAMLX Fund  USD 51.39  0.35  0.68%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Congress Large Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 51.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.07. Congress Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Congress Large is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Congress Large Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Congress Large Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 51.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.07.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Congress Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Congress Large's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Congress Large Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Congress Large Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Congress Large's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Congress Large's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.77 and 52.36, respectively. We have considered Congress Large's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
51.39
51.56
Expected Value
52.36
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Congress Large mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Congress Large mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.8536
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0964
MADMean absolute deviation0.3232
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0065
SAESum of the absolute errors19.07
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Congress Large Cap price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Congress Large. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Congress Large

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Congress Large Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.9551.7452.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.5755.2156.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
47.4749.8052.12
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Congress Large

For every potential investor in Congress, whether a beginner or expert, Congress Large's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Congress Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Congress. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Congress Large's price trends.

Congress Large Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Congress Large mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Congress Large could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Congress Large by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Congress Large Cap Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Congress Large's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Congress Large's current price.

Congress Large Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Congress Large mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Congress Large shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Congress Large mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Congress Large Cap entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Congress Large Risk Indicators

The analysis of Congress Large's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Congress Large's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting congress mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Congress Mutual Fund

Congress Large financial ratios help investors to determine whether Congress Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Congress with respect to the benefits of owning Congress Large security.
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