Columbia Emerging Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

Columbia Emerging polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Columbia Emerging Markets as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Columbia Emerging Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Columbia Emerging Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 13.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.70.

Columbia Emerging Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Columbia Emerging mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Columbia Emerging mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Columbia Emerging historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a₀ + a₁*X + a₂*X² + a₃*X³ + ... + a_m*X^m

Predictive Modules for Columbia Emerging

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Emerging Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 12.58 13.46 14.34 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 12.60 13.48 14.36 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Columbia Emerging. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Columbia Emerging's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Columbia Emerging's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Columbia Emerging Markets.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

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