Citizens Financial Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

CFG-PH Stock   26.85  0.18  0.67%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Citizens Financial Group, on the next trading day is expected to be 26.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.68. Citizens Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Citizens Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The Citizens Financial's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 5.21, while Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to decrease to 0.03. . The Citizens Financial's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 497.8 M.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Citizens Financial Group, is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Citizens Financial 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Citizens Financial Group, on the next trading day is expected to be 26.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Citizens Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Citizens Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Citizens Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

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Citizens Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Citizens Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Citizens Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.50 and 27.39, respectively. We have considered Citizens Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.85
26.95
Expected Value
27.39
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Citizens Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Citizens Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.0178
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0267
MADMean absolute deviation0.1325
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0049
SAESum of the absolute errors7.685
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Citizens Financial. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Citizens Financial Group, and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Citizens Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Citizens Financial Group,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.4026.8527.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.4026.8527.30
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Citizens Financial

For every potential investor in Citizens, whether a beginner or expert, Citizens Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Citizens Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Citizens. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Citizens Financial's price trends.

Citizens Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Citizens Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Citizens Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Citizens Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Citizens Financial Group, Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Citizens Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Citizens Financial's current price.

Citizens Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Citizens Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Citizens Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Citizens Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Citizens Financial Group, entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Citizens Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Citizens Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Citizens Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting citizens stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Citizens Financial Group, is a strong investment it is important to analyze Citizens Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Citizens Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Citizens Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Citizens Financial to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Citizens Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Citizens Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Citizens Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.