Colorpak Indonesia Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

CLPI Stock  IDR 1,060  5.00  0.47%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Colorpak Indonesia Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 1,062 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 328.75. Colorpak Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Colorpak Indonesia is based on an artificially constructed time series of Colorpak Indonesia daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Colorpak Indonesia 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Colorpak Indonesia Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 1,062 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.09, mean absolute percentage error of 62.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 328.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Colorpak Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Colorpak Indonesia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Colorpak Indonesia Stock Forecast Pattern

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Colorpak Indonesia Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Colorpak Indonesia's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Colorpak Indonesia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,061 and 1,062, respectively. We have considered Colorpak Indonesia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,060
1,062
Expected Value
1,062
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Colorpak Indonesia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Colorpak Indonesia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.3775
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.6667
MADMean absolute deviation6.088
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0057
SAESum of the absolute errors328.75
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Colorpak Indonesia Tbk 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Colorpak Indonesia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Colorpak Indonesia Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0591,0601,061
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
976.99977.501,166
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,0541,0651,076
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Colorpak Indonesia

For every potential investor in Colorpak, whether a beginner or expert, Colorpak Indonesia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Colorpak Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Colorpak. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Colorpak Indonesia's price trends.

Colorpak Indonesia Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Colorpak Indonesia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Colorpak Indonesia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Colorpak Indonesia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Colorpak Indonesia Tbk Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Colorpak Indonesia's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Colorpak Indonesia's current price.

Colorpak Indonesia Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Colorpak Indonesia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Colorpak Indonesia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Colorpak Indonesia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Colorpak Indonesia Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Colorpak Indonesia Risk Indicators

The analysis of Colorpak Indonesia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Colorpak Indonesia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting colorpak stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Colorpak Stock

Colorpak Indonesia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Colorpak Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Colorpak with respect to the benefits of owning Colorpak Indonesia security.