Cosmos Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

A naive forecasting model for Cosmos Group is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cosmos Group Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cosmos Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cosmos Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000022, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Cosmos Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cosmos Group

Cosmos Group Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Cosmos Group Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cosmos Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cosmos Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cosmos Group Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cosmos Group. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cosmos Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cosmos Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.00 0.0001 50.01 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.00 0.000063 50.01 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cosmos Group

For every potential investor in Cosmos, whether a beginner or expert, Cosmos Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cosmos Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cosmos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cosmos Group's price trends.

View Cosmos Group Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Cosmos Group Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cosmos Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cosmos Group's current price.

Cosmos Group Market Strength Events

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Cosmos Pink Sheet