Cushman Wakefield Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CWK Stock  USD 15.30  0.18  1.16%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cushman Wakefield plc on the next trading day is expected to be 15.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.23. Cushman Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Cushman Wakefield's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cushman Wakefield's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cushman Wakefield fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Cushman Wakefield's Payables Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 23.46 this year, although the value of Receivables Turnover will most likely fall to 4.22. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to rise to about 237.2 M this year, although the value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding will most likely fall to about 224.9 M.

Cushman Wakefield Cash Forecast

To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Cushman Wakefield's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2016-12-31
Previous Quarter
602.5 M
Current Value
775.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
252.5 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Cushman Wakefield is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cushman Wakefield plc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cushman Wakefield Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cushman Wakefield plc on the next trading day is expected to be 15.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cushman Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cushman Wakefield's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cushman Wakefield Stock Forecast Pattern

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Cushman Wakefield Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cushman Wakefield's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cushman Wakefield's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.02 and 18.53, respectively. We have considered Cushman Wakefield's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.30
15.77
Expected Value
18.53
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cushman Wakefield stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cushman Wakefield stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3731
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.348
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0254
SAESum of the absolute errors21.2297
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cushman Wakefield plc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cushman Wakefield. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cushman Wakefield

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cushman Wakefield plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cushman Wakefield's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.9715.7218.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0112.7615.51
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.8310.8011.99
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.220.230.23
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cushman Wakefield

For every potential investor in Cushman, whether a beginner or expert, Cushman Wakefield's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cushman Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cushman. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cushman Wakefield's price trends.

Cushman Wakefield Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cushman Wakefield stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cushman Wakefield could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cushman Wakefield by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cushman Wakefield plc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cushman Wakefield's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cushman Wakefield's current price.

Cushman Wakefield Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cushman Wakefield stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cushman Wakefield shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cushman Wakefield stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cushman Wakefield plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cushman Wakefield Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cushman Wakefield's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cushman Wakefield's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cushman stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Cushman Wakefield plc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Cushman Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Cushman Wakefield Plc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Cushman Wakefield Plc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cushman Wakefield to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cushman Wakefield. If investors know Cushman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cushman Wakefield listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.948
Earnings Share
0.38
Revenue Per Share
41.049
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.025
Return On Assets
0.0279
The market value of Cushman Wakefield plc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cushman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cushman Wakefield's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cushman Wakefield's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cushman Wakefield's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cushman Wakefield's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cushman Wakefield's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cushman Wakefield is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cushman Wakefield's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.