Dime Community Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

DCOM Stock  USD 34.99  0.19  0.55%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Dime Community Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 35.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.12. Dime Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Dime Community's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Dime Community's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Dime Community fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Dime Community's Fixed Asset Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 11th of December 2024, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 0.03, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop (0.12). . As of the 11th of December 2024, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 173.4 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop about 29 M.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Dime Community Bancshares is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Dime Community 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Dime Community Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 35.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76, mean absolute percentage error of 1.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dime Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dime Community's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dime Community Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dime CommunityDime Community Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Dime Community Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dime Community's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dime Community's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.11 and 38.40, respectively. We have considered Dime Community's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
34.99
35.26
Expected Value
38.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dime Community stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dime Community stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.9307
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2693
MADMean absolute deviation0.7565
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0238
SAESum of the absolute errors43.1225
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Dime Community. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Dime Community Bancshares and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Dime Community

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dime Community Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.7034.8437.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.1932.3335.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25.2731.5937.91
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
23.2125.5028.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Dime Community

For every potential investor in Dime, whether a beginner or expert, Dime Community's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dime Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dime. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dime Community's price trends.

Dime Community Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dime Community stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dime Community could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dime Community by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dime Community Bancshares Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dime Community's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dime Community's current price.

Dime Community Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dime Community stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dime Community shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dime Community stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dime Community Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dime Community Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dime Community's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dime Community's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dime stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Dime Community Bancshares is a strong investment it is important to analyze Dime Community's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Dime Community's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Dime Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dime Community to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dime Community. If investors know Dime will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dime Community listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.14)
Dividend Share
1
Earnings Share
1.5
Revenue Per Share
8.193
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
The market value of Dime Community Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dime that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dime Community's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dime Community's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dime Community's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dime Community's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dime Community's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dime Community is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dime Community's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.