Quest Diagnostics Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

DGX Stock  USD 162.66  0.66  0.40%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Quest Diagnostics Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 160.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 175.04. Quest Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Quest Diagnostics' Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to rise to 0.99 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 11.23 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to rise to about 128 M in 2024, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop slightly above 758.9 M in 2024.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Quest Diagnostics price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Quest Diagnostics Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Quest Diagnostics Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 160.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.82, mean absolute percentage error of 11.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 175.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Quest Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Quest Diagnostics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Quest Diagnostics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Quest DiagnosticsQuest Diagnostics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Quest Diagnostics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Quest Diagnostics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Quest Diagnostics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 159.41 and 161.97, respectively. We have considered Quest Diagnostics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
162.66
159.41
Downside
160.69
Expected Value
161.97
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Quest Diagnostics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Quest Diagnostics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.3532
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.8233
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0184
SAESum of the absolute errors175.0449
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Quest Diagnostics Incorporated historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Quest Diagnostics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quest Diagnostics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
161.45162.73164.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
149.95151.23178.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
160.21162.32164.43
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
133.14146.31162.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Quest Diagnostics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Quest Diagnostics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Quest Diagnostics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Quest Diagnostics.

Other Forecasting Options for Quest Diagnostics

For every potential investor in Quest, whether a beginner or expert, Quest Diagnostics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Quest Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Quest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Quest Diagnostics' price trends.

Quest Diagnostics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Quest Diagnostics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Quest Diagnostics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Quest Diagnostics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Quest Diagnostics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Quest Diagnostics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Quest Diagnostics' current price.

Quest Diagnostics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Quest Diagnostics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Quest Diagnostics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Quest Diagnostics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Quest Diagnostics Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Quest Diagnostics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Quest Diagnostics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Quest Diagnostics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting quest stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Quest Stock Analysis

When running Quest Diagnostics' price analysis, check to measure Quest Diagnostics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Quest Diagnostics is operating at the current time. Most of Quest Diagnostics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Quest Diagnostics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Quest Diagnostics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Quest Diagnostics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.