Cutler Equity Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

DIVHX Fund  USD 28.99  0.12  0.41%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cutler Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 28.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.64. Cutler Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Cutler Equity simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Cutler Equity are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Cutler Equity prices get older.

Cutler Equity Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cutler Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 28.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cutler Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cutler Equity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cutler Equity Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cutler EquityCutler Equity Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Cutler Equity Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cutler Equity's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cutler Equity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.40 and 29.58, respectively. We have considered Cutler Equity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28.99
28.99
Expected Value
29.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cutler Equity mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cutler Equity mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.7054
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0203
MADMean absolute deviation0.1273
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0045
SAESum of the absolute errors7.64
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Cutler Equity forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Cutler Equity observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Cutler Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cutler Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.4028.9929.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.3028.8929.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
28.1828.8929.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cutler Equity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cutler Equity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cutler Equity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cutler Equity.

Other Forecasting Options for Cutler Equity

For every potential investor in Cutler, whether a beginner or expert, Cutler Equity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cutler Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cutler. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cutler Equity's price trends.

Cutler Equity Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cutler Equity mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cutler Equity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cutler Equity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cutler Equity Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cutler Equity's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cutler Equity's current price.

Cutler Equity Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cutler Equity mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cutler Equity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cutler Equity mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Cutler Equity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cutler Equity Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cutler Equity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cutler Equity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cutler mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Cutler Mutual Fund

Cutler Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cutler Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cutler with respect to the benefits of owning Cutler Equity security.
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities