Dynacor Gold Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

DNGDF Stock  USD 4.29  0.04  0.92%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Dynacor Gold Mines on the next trading day is expected to be 4.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.76. Dynacor Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dynacor Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Dynacor Gold is based on an artificially constructed time series of Dynacor Gold daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Dynacor Gold 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Dynacor Gold Mines on the next trading day is expected to be 4.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.76.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dynacor Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dynacor Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dynacor Gold Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Dynacor Gold Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dynacor Gold's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dynacor Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.12 and 6.20, respectively. We have considered Dynacor Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.29
4.16
Expected Value
6.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dynacor Gold pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dynacor Gold pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria101.2164
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0428
MADMean absolute deviation0.1066
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0262
SAESum of the absolute errors5.7563
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Dynacor Gold Mines 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Dynacor Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dynacor Gold Mines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dynacor Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.254.296.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.433.475.51
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Dynacor Gold

For every potential investor in Dynacor, whether a beginner or expert, Dynacor Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dynacor Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dynacor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dynacor Gold's price trends.

Dynacor Gold Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dynacor Gold pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dynacor Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dynacor Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dynacor Gold Mines Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dynacor Gold's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dynacor Gold's current price.

Dynacor Gold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dynacor Gold pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dynacor Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dynacor Gold pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Dynacor Gold Mines entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dynacor Gold Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dynacor Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dynacor Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dynacor pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Dynacor Pink Sheet

Dynacor Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dynacor Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dynacor with respect to the benefits of owning Dynacor Gold security.