Emera Pref Preferred Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

EMA-PF Preferred Stock  CAD 21.01  0.46  2.24%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Emera Pref F on the next trading day is expected to be 20.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.50. Emera Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Emera Pref stock prices and determine the direction of Emera Pref F's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Emera Pref's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Emera Pref price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Emera Pref Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Emera Pref F on the next trading day is expected to be 20.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Emera Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Emera Pref's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Emera Pref Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Emera PrefEmera Pref Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Emera Pref Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Emera Pref's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Emera Pref's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.40 and 21.28, respectively. We have considered Emera Pref's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21.01
20.34
Expected Value
21.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Emera Pref preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Emera Pref preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.1862
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2016
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0102
SAESum of the absolute errors12.4971
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Emera Pref F historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Emera Pref

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Emera Pref F. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.0721.0121.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.5920.5321.47
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Emera Pref

For every potential investor in Emera, whether a beginner or expert, Emera Pref's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Emera Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Emera. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Emera Pref's price trends.

Emera Pref Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Emera Pref preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Emera Pref could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Emera Pref by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Emera Pref F Technical and Predictive Analytics

The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Emera Pref's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Emera Pref's current price.

Emera Pref Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Emera Pref preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Emera Pref shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Emera Pref preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Emera Pref F entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Emera Pref Risk Indicators

The analysis of Emera Pref's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Emera Pref's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting emera preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Emera Pref

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Emera Pref position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Emera Pref will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Emera Preferred Stock

  0.73DAY DayforcePairCorr
  0.82RBA Ritchie Bros AuctioneersPairCorr

Moving against Emera Preferred Stock

  0.84PNC-B Postmedia Network CanadaPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Emera Pref could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Emera Pref when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Emera Pref - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Emera Pref F to buy it.
The correlation of Emera Pref is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Emera Pref moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Emera Pref F moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Emera Pref can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Emera Preferred Stock

Emera Pref financial ratios help investors to determine whether Emera Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Emera with respect to the benefits of owning Emera Pref security.