Eaton Vance Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

EOS Etf  USD 23.28  0.03  0.13%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Eaton Vance Enhanced on the next trading day is expected to be 23.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.17. Eaton Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Eaton Vance is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Eaton Vance Enhanced value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Eaton Vance Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Eaton Vance Enhanced on the next trading day is expected to be 23.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eaton Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eaton Vance's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eaton Vance Etf Forecast Pattern

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Eaton Vance Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eaton Vance's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eaton Vance's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.61 and 24.21, respectively. We have considered Eaton Vance's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.28
23.41
Expected Value
24.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eaton Vance etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eaton Vance etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8464
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1503
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0069
SAESum of the absolute errors9.1687
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Eaton Vance Enhanced. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Eaton Vance. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Eaton Vance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eaton Vance Enhanced. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.4523.2824.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.1621.9925.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.8122.7023.59
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Eaton Vance

For every potential investor in Eaton, whether a beginner or expert, Eaton Vance's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eaton Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eaton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eaton Vance's price trends.

Eaton Vance Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eaton Vance etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eaton Vance could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eaton Vance by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eaton Vance Enhanced Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Eaton Vance's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Eaton Vance's current price.

Eaton Vance Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eaton Vance etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eaton Vance shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eaton Vance etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Eaton Vance Enhanced entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eaton Vance Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eaton Vance's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eaton Vance's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eaton etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Eaton Etf

Eaton Vance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eaton Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eaton with respect to the benefits of owning Eaton Vance security.