SMI 3Fourteen Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FCTE Etf | 26.94 0.13 0.48% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SMI 3Fourteen Full Cycle on the next trading day is expected to be 26.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.91. SMI Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SMI 3Fourteen stock prices and determine the direction of SMI 3Fourteen Full Cycle's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SMI 3Fourteen's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
SMI |
SMI 3Fourteen Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SMI 3Fourteen Full Cycle on the next trading day is expected to be 26.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SMI Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SMI 3Fourteen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SMI 3Fourteen Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SMI 3Fourteen | SMI 3Fourteen Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
SMI 3Fourteen Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SMI 3Fourteen's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SMI 3Fourteen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.10 and 27.78, respectively. We have considered SMI 3Fourteen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SMI 3Fourteen etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SMI 3Fourteen etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3289 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0038 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1818 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0067 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.91 |
Predictive Modules for SMI 3Fourteen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SMI 3Fourteen Full. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SMI 3Fourteen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for SMI 3Fourteen
For every potential investor in SMI, whether a beginner or expert, SMI 3Fourteen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SMI Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SMI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SMI 3Fourteen's price trends.SMI 3Fourteen Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SMI 3Fourteen etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SMI 3Fourteen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SMI 3Fourteen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SMI 3Fourteen Full Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SMI 3Fourteen's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SMI 3Fourteen's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SMI 3Fourteen Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SMI 3Fourteen etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SMI 3Fourteen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SMI 3Fourteen etf market strength indicators, traders can identify SMI 3Fourteen Full Cycle entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SMI 3Fourteen Risk Indicators
The analysis of SMI 3Fourteen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SMI 3Fourteen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting smi etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6694 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7552 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.854 | |||
| Variance | 0.7292 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7803 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5704 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether SMI 3Fourteen Full is a strong investment it is important to analyze SMI 3Fourteen's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact SMI 3Fourteen's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding SMI Etf, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SMI 3Fourteen to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
The market value of SMI 3Fourteen Full is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SMI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SMI 3Fourteen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SMI 3Fourteen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SMI 3Fourteen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SMI 3Fourteen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SMI 3Fourteen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SMI 3Fourteen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SMI 3Fourteen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.