FIBI Holdings Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

FIBIH Stock  ILA 18,940  10.00  0.05%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FIBI Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 19,042 with a mean absolute deviation of 172.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10,153. FIBI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for FIBI Holdings - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When FIBI Holdings prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in FIBI Holdings price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of FIBI Holdings.

FIBI Holdings Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FIBI Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 19,042 with a mean absolute deviation of 172.08, mean absolute percentage error of 44,979, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10,153.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FIBI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FIBI Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FIBI Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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FIBI Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FIBI Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FIBI Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19,041 and 19,043, respectively. We have considered FIBI Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18,940
19,041
Downside
19,042
Expected Value
19,043
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FIBI Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FIBI Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -37.6801
MADMean absolute deviation172.0843
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0105
SAESum of the absolute errors10152.9713
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past FIBI Holdings observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older FIBI Holdings observations.

Predictive Modules for FIBI Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FIBI Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18,93918,94018,941
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17,04621,11121,112
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14,48716,83519,183
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FIBI Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FIBI Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FIBI Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FIBI Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for FIBI Holdings

For every potential investor in FIBI, whether a beginner or expert, FIBI Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FIBI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FIBI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FIBI Holdings' price trends.

FIBI Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FIBI Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FIBI Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FIBI Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FIBI Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FIBI Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FIBI Holdings' current price.

FIBI Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FIBI Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FIBI Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FIBI Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FIBI Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

FIBI Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of FIBI Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FIBI Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fibi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for FIBI Stock Analysis

When running FIBI Holdings' price analysis, check to measure FIBI Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FIBI Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of FIBI Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FIBI Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FIBI Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FIBI Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.