Franklin Wireless Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| FKWL Stock | USD 4.30 0.10 2.38% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Franklin Wireless Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 4.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.99. Franklin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Franklin Wireless' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Franklin Wireless' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Franklin Wireless fundamentals over time.
Franklin |
Franklin Wireless Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Franklin Wireless Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 4.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Franklin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Franklin Wireless' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Franklin Wireless Stock Forecast Pattern
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Franklin Wireless Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Franklin Wireless' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Franklin Wireless' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.05 and 6.55, respectively. We have considered Franklin Wireless' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Franklin Wireless stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Franklin Wireless stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0143 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0676 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0158 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.9886 |
Predictive Modules for Franklin Wireless
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Wireless Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin Wireless' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Franklin Wireless
For every potential investor in Franklin, whether a beginner or expert, Franklin Wireless' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Franklin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Franklin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Franklin Wireless' price trends.Franklin Wireless Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Franklin Wireless stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Franklin Wireless could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Franklin Wireless by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Franklin Wireless Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Franklin Wireless' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Franklin Wireless' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Franklin Wireless Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Franklin Wireless stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Franklin Wireless shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Franklin Wireless stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Franklin Wireless Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Franklin Wireless Risk Indicators
The analysis of Franklin Wireless' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Franklin Wireless' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting franklin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.3 | |||
| Variance | 5.31 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Franklin Wireless. If investors know Franklin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Franklin Wireless listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.667 | Earnings Share (0.28) | Revenue Per Share 2.613 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.64) | Return On Assets (0.07) |
The market value of Franklin Wireless Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Franklin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Franklin Wireless' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Franklin Wireless' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Franklin Wireless' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Franklin Wireless' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Wireless' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Wireless is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Wireless' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.