Flexsteel Industries Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

FLXS Stock  USD 59.17  0.76  1.27%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Flexsteel Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 62.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 183.15. Flexsteel Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Flexsteel Industries' Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 2.26 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 11.97 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 5.6 M in 2024, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop slightly above 6.8 M in 2024.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Flexsteel Industries price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Flexsteel Industries Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Flexsteel Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 62.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.00, mean absolute percentage error of 13.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 183.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Flexsteel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Flexsteel Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Flexsteel Industries Stock Forecast Pattern

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Flexsteel Industries Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Flexsteel Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Flexsteel Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 57.94 and 66.51, respectively. We have considered Flexsteel Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
59.17
62.22
Expected Value
66.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Flexsteel Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Flexsteel Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.7432
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.0025
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0617
SAESum of the absolute errors183.151
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Flexsteel Industries historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Flexsteel Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flexsteel Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flexsteel Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.8959.1763.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.3845.6665.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
58.8659.4760.08
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
26.3929.0032.19
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Flexsteel Industries

For every potential investor in Flexsteel, whether a beginner or expert, Flexsteel Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Flexsteel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Flexsteel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Flexsteel Industries' price trends.

Flexsteel Industries Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Flexsteel Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Flexsteel Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Flexsteel Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Flexsteel Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Flexsteel Industries' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Flexsteel Industries' current price.

Flexsteel Industries Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Flexsteel Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Flexsteel Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Flexsteel Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Flexsteel Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Flexsteel Industries Risk Indicators

The analysis of Flexsteel Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Flexsteel Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting flexsteel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Flexsteel Stock Analysis

When running Flexsteel Industries' price analysis, check to measure Flexsteel Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flexsteel Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Flexsteel Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flexsteel Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flexsteel Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flexsteel Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.