FPX Nickel Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

FPX Stock  CAD 0.24  0.01  4.00%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of FPX Nickel Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.52. FPX Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Payables Turnover is likely to climb to 151.81 in 2024. Receivables Turnover is likely to climb to 0.22 in 2024. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to climb to about 274.3 M in 2024, despite the fact that Net Loss is likely to grow to (3.3 M).
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for FPX Nickel Corp is based on a synthetically constructed FPX Nickeldaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

FPX Nickel 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of FPX Nickel Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FPX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FPX Nickel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FPX Nickel Stock Forecast Pattern

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FPX Nickel Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FPX Nickel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FPX Nickel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.16, respectively. We have considered FPX Nickel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.24
0.25
Expected Value
4.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FPX Nickel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FPX Nickel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria74.7125
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0091
MADMean absolute deviation0.0123
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0467
SAESum of the absolute errors0.5165
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. FPX Nickel Corp 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for FPX Nickel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FPX Nickel Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.244.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.224.13
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.0025-0.0025-0.0025
Details

Other Forecasting Options for FPX Nickel

For every potential investor in FPX, whether a beginner or expert, FPX Nickel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FPX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FPX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FPX Nickel's price trends.

FPX Nickel Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FPX Nickel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FPX Nickel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FPX Nickel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FPX Nickel Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FPX Nickel's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FPX Nickel's current price.

FPX Nickel Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FPX Nickel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FPX Nickel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FPX Nickel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FPX Nickel Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

FPX Nickel Risk Indicators

The analysis of FPX Nickel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FPX Nickel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fpx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for FPX Stock Analysis

When running FPX Nickel's price analysis, check to measure FPX Nickel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FPX Nickel is operating at the current time. Most of FPX Nickel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FPX Nickel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FPX Nickel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FPX Nickel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.