Gamco Global Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

GOCAX Fund  USD 11.95  0.03  0.25%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Gamco Global Opportunity on the next trading day is expected to be 11.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.70. Gamco Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Gamco Global price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Gamco Global Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Gamco Global Opportunity on the next trading day is expected to be 11.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gamco Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gamco Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gamco Global Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Gamco GlobalGamco Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Gamco Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gamco Global's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gamco Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.90 and 12.41, respectively. We have considered Gamco Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.95
11.66
Expected Value
12.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gamco Global mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gamco Global mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2466
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1242
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0102
SAESum of the absolute errors7.6983
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Gamco Global Opportunity historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Gamco Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gamco Global Opportunity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1911.9512.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2912.0512.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.5512.0112.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gamco Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gamco Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gamco Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gamco Global Opportunity.

Other Forecasting Options for Gamco Global

For every potential investor in Gamco, whether a beginner or expert, Gamco Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gamco Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gamco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gamco Global's price trends.

Gamco Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gamco Global mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gamco Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gamco Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gamco Global Opportunity Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gamco Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gamco Global's current price.

Gamco Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gamco Global mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gamco Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gamco Global mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Gamco Global Opportunity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gamco Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gamco Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gamco Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gamco mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Gamco Mutual Fund

Gamco Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gamco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gamco with respect to the benefits of owning Gamco Global security.
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