Hana Microelectronics Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

HANA Stock  THB 26.25  0.75  2.78%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hana Microelectronics Public on the next trading day is expected to be 28.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 145.22. Hana Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Hana Microelectronics Public is based on a synthetically constructed Hana Microelectronicsdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Hana Microelectronics 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hana Microelectronics Public on the next trading day is expected to be 28.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.54, mean absolute percentage error of 17.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 145.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hana Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hana Microelectronics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hana Microelectronics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hana MicroelectronicsHana Microelectronics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hana Microelectronics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hana Microelectronics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hana Microelectronics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.74 and 31.54, respectively. We have considered Hana Microelectronics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.25
28.64
Expected Value
31.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hana Microelectronics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hana Microelectronics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria84.21
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.4855
MADMean absolute deviation3.5419
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1164
SAESum of the absolute errors145.219
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Hana Microelectronics 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Hana Microelectronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hana Microelectronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.3726.2529.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.5324.4127.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.9332.6642.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Hana Microelectronics

For every potential investor in Hana, whether a beginner or expert, Hana Microelectronics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hana Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hana. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hana Microelectronics' price trends.

Hana Microelectronics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hana Microelectronics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hana Microelectronics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hana Microelectronics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hana Microelectronics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hana Microelectronics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hana Microelectronics' current price.

Hana Microelectronics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hana Microelectronics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hana Microelectronics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hana Microelectronics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hana Microelectronics Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hana Microelectronics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hana Microelectronics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hana Microelectronics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hana stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Other Information on Investing in Hana Stock

Hana Microelectronics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hana with respect to the benefits of owning Hana Microelectronics security.