Hannan Metals Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

HANNF Stock  USD 0.56  0.02  3.45%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hannan Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.01. Hannan Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hannan Metals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Hannan Metals simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Hannan Metals are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Hannan Metals prices get older.

Hannan Metals Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hannan Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hannan Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hannan Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hannan Metals Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Hannan Metals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hannan Metals' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hannan Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.07, respectively. We have considered Hannan Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.56
0.56
Expected Value
6.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hannan Metals pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hannan Metals pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.7701
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0022
MADMean absolute deviation0.0168
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0412
SAESum of the absolute errors1.01
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Hannan Metals forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Hannan Metals observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Hannan Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hannan Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.566.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.435.96
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Hannan Metals

For every potential investor in Hannan, whether a beginner or expert, Hannan Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hannan Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hannan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hannan Metals' price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hannan Metals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hannan Metals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hannan Metals' current price.

Hannan Metals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hannan Metals pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hannan Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hannan Metals pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Hannan Metals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hannan Metals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hannan Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hannan Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hannan pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Hannan Pink Sheet

Hannan Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hannan Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hannan with respect to the benefits of owning Hannan Metals security.