Hanison Construction Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| HNC Stock | EUR 0.14 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hanison Construction Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Hanison Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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Hanison Construction Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hanison Construction Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hanison Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hanison Construction's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hanison Construction Stock Forecast Pattern
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Hanison Construction Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hanison Construction's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hanison Construction's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.14 and 0.14, respectively. We have considered Hanison Construction's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hanison Construction stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hanison Construction stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Hanison Construction
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hanison Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Hanison Construction
For every potential investor in Hanison, whether a beginner or expert, Hanison Construction's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hanison Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hanison. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hanison Construction's price trends.Hanison Construction Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hanison Construction stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hanison Construction could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hanison Construction by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hanison Construction Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hanison Construction's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hanison Construction's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Hanison Construction Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hanison Construction stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hanison Construction shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hanison Construction stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hanison Construction Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
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Additional Tools for Hanison Stock Analysis
When running Hanison Construction's price analysis, check to measure Hanison Construction's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hanison Construction is operating at the current time. Most of Hanison Construction's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hanison Construction's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hanison Construction's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hanison Construction to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.