HNI Corp Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

HNI Stock  USD 56.65  0.38  0.68%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of HNI Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 58.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.05. HNI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of HNI Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, HNI Corp's Inventory Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The HNI Corp's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 2.08, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 6.61. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 44.8 M. The current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to decrease to about 68.1 M.
HNI Corp polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for HNI Corp as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

HNI Corp Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of HNI Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 58.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97, mean absolute percentage error of 1.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HNI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HNI Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HNI Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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HNI Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting HNI Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HNI Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 57.29 and 60.39, respectively. We have considered HNI Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
56.65
58.84
Expected Value
60.39
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HNI Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HNI Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.6616
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.968
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0184
SAESum of the absolute errors59.0454
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the HNI Corp historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for HNI Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HNI Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.2456.7958.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.7748.3262.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
54.3056.0557.80
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
37.9241.6746.25
Details

Other Forecasting Options for HNI Corp

For every potential investor in HNI, whether a beginner or expert, HNI Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HNI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HNI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HNI Corp's price trends.

HNI Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HNI Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HNI Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HNI Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

HNI Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of HNI Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of HNI Corp's current price.

HNI Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HNI Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HNI Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HNI Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HNI Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

HNI Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of HNI Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HNI Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hni stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether HNI Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of HNI Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hni Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hni Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of HNI Corp to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in HNI Stock please use our How to Invest in HNI Corp guide.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HNI Corp. If investors know HNI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about HNI Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.225
Dividend Share
1.3
Earnings Share
2.58
Revenue Per Share
54.402
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
The market value of HNI Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of HNI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of HNI Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is HNI Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because HNI Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect HNI Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between HNI Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HNI Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HNI Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.